Why there's no need to increase the official cash rate
One major bank’s forecasters have predicted that the Reserve Bank will raise their current 5.5% official cash rate to 6.0% in the ...
Reserve Bank still strongly opposed to big reductions in interest rates
The Reserve Bank still appears to remain staunchly opposed to any sizable reductions in mortgage interest rates. That said, it is ...
Inflation still too high for monetary policy to ease
Even though the December inflation numbers came out lower than expected, at 4.7% it is still too far way from the 1% - 3% target r...
Once bitten, twice shy
While the annual inflation rate came in lower than anticipated at 5.6%, the Reserve Bank is unlikely to ease monetary policy anytime soon — and until wage growth heads back down to 3.5%, they may not even consider it. So what does this mean for Kiwi?
Two giants and their impact on NZ
The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate at 5.5%, but the outlook on interest rates is still clouded. And now, the future of our housing market might be shaken up by two giants from the other side of the globe: China, and the U.S.
A shift in inflation forecasting
As one who has been around for three and a half decades commenting on the New Zealand economy and observing offshore markets, I’ve learnt that surprises never stay pointing in the one direction. A key aspect of markets is that they are adaptive.
Mortgage rates stay high for the foreseeable future, as global inflation worries continue
Weak exports, household spending lessen chances of another official cash rate hike, but inflation, migration, and fiscal policy changes may delay a rate cut until well into 2024.