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Experts' Views
Friday, July 30th, 3:40PM
BNZ has adopted a central rate hike scenario of the peak being 5.5% instead of 6%, with one pause in the cycle in January and another in June next year as a result of yesterday's Reserve Bank statement and recent events.
In the BNZ Weekly Overview economist Tony Alexander says modelling this scenario produces an expected floating mortgage rate over the coming year of 6.9%. This compares to the Mortgagerates.co.nz median for the major banks of one year fixed at 6.45%. For two years BNZ forecasts an average floating rate of 7.6% versus the current major bank median of 6.99%. For three years BNZ forecasts an average floating rate of 7...MORE»
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Friday, July 16th, 4:45PM
The recovery in the New Zealand economy is proving to be a very lacklustre affair which is leaving many people scratching their heads wondering if this is as good as it gets, says BNZ economist Tony Alexander.
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Friday, July 16th, 4:15PM
New Zealand consumer prices rose less than expected in the second quarter as a decline in the price of food softened the impact of higher liquor and tobacco prices, providing little evidence that the central bank needs to aggressively hike interest rates.
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Previous News
Tuesday, July 13th, 4:26PM
Economic recovery or not? Looming inflation problem or not? Perhaps we really need Paul the Octopus to settle the debate, says ASB. But unless he says something different, the bank's view remains that the economic recovery will continue steadily, not spectacularly.
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Friday, July 9th, 12:35PM
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Monday, July 5th, 4:18PM
How households react to lower mortgage rates is key, with some suggesting this could lead to more Reserve Bank tightening according to ANZ.
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Friday, July 2nd, 10:28AM
With the economy's recovery being so weak and patchy and with major problems still in existence internationally, BNZ believes there's a risk that the Reserve Bank will not raise the cash rate as quickly as it has pencilled in.
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Monday, June 28th, 5:02PM
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Friday, June 25th, 2:49PM
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Friday, June 18th, 11:40AM
If ASB had not kicked off mortgage rate increases yesterday, then the Reserve Bank would have started thinking in terms of boosting the Official Cash Rate (OCR) 0.5% in July simply to force the response it wants, says BNZ economist Tony Alexander.
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Latest Trends
Flattening yield curve

The above graph shows the journey in which the home loan interest rates have taken over the past couple of years compared with the five-year median.
With the considerable cuts to long-term fixed rates this month and the increases we saw to floating rates in June this year, the yield curve is starting to show signs of flattening out.
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