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Other banks unlikely to follow TSB

TSB Bank has put out a very sharp two-year rate of 5.99%. In normal times you would expect its competitors to follow, but this isn’t normal times.

It seems the large banks are not interested in chasing new business at the moment and none have any plans to start doing so in the near term. I suspect, unless there is a big change in the market conditions, we will see very few of the traditional spring advertising campaigns.

Therefore the prospect of any price war around spring is low.

But we are in the middle of winter and it is solstice.

The lenders you would expect to compete against TSB, such as Kiwibank and BNZ are unlikely to move. BNZ is totally focused on getting money in the door, not lending it out. Kiwibank has so much new business and so many existing customers it is unlikely to match TSB.

In fact if you look at our rates table you will see Kiwibank has one of the highest two-year rates of any bank.

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Latest Trends
Earthquake to rattle rates

 

The effect of the Christchurch earthquake has even rattled mortgage rates heralding a turning point to the current trend of a flattening yield curve with floating and short-term rates increasing and long-term fixed rates falling.

Expect from here on to see the graph in front of you flipped, as economists expect the yield curve to steepen. The reason for this is that the 7.1 magnitude earthquake that hit Canterbury and the collapse of South Canterbury Finance last week has eliminated any remaining chance of a September Official Cash Rate (OCR) hike according to economists. Most are now not expecting monetary policy tightening until 2011.

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Disclaimer: Every possible effort has been made to keep the information in the rates tables as accurate as possible, however, neither the publishers of Mortgage Rates nor anyone engaged to compile these tables accept any liability for inaccuracies or any loss suffered as a result. It is strongly advised that readers check loan details directly with the provider concerned.

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