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No housing boom looming: English

Monday, March 19th 2012, 6:31AM

There were some interesting comments from Finance Minister Bill English over the weekend where he said another housing boom was unlikely. He told TVNZ's Q+A programme there isn't the cash around to fuel a boom.

English says neither our own banks nor the overseas ones which fund them are going to fund a bubble. He says although some prices have been rising, overall credit growth is zero.

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The OCR ain't going anywhere

The new Reserve Bank governor, Graeme Wheeler, predicts that the official cash rate won't by going anywhere until 2014.

This is clear from the 90-day bank bill forecast graph in the December Monetary Policy Statement. It shows clearly how over the past year forecast increases kept getting pushed down each quarter.

A year ago the bank was predicting the 90-day bill rate would be up at 4.00% by March 2014. That forecast was wound back to 3.3% in March, 3.2% three months later and is now down at 2.8%.

The good news for borrowers is that, asssuming things pan out as forecast, then home loan rates aren't likely to be going up any time soon either.

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